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Why "Triangulation" Beats "Transcendence" (June 17, 2010 2:10 PM)

Why "Triangulation" is Better Than "Transcendence": (There's a discussion of this question in a new bloggingheads.tv chat with Bob Wright.)

The Democrats' left wing seems to be getting quite upset with President Obama's apparent decision to preserve a key elements of his "brand"--that is, his "transcendence" of partisan politics--at the expense of active fight-back against Republican obstructionism, etc. "Transcendence" has become Obama's poll-driven sin, we're told--the same way we were told that "triangulation" was Bill Clinton's sin.

But when it comes to boosting your own popularity at the expense of ticking off the left, triangulation has it all over transcendence, for at least two reasons.

1) Transcendence is wimpy. Obama says he's for "comprehensive immigration reform," including legalization. He just doesn't seem to be doing much to get it done. He says he's for "card check"--i.e. helping unions organize by letting them bypass the secret ballot. Hey, it's not his fault if the idea's dying a slow, agonized death on his watch. But the President's failure to achieve publicly stated goals doesn't exactly make him look strong. He won't stand up to them, yet he can't help them. He won't even stand up to them to the extent of telling them, explicilty, "Look this isn't going to happen. The voters aren't there."** He doesn't want to risk upsetting his "base"--which seems wimpy too. As a result, instead of pushing back against left and right he becomes the punching bag for left and right.

Contrast this with Bill Clinton's "triangulation"--at least his most important triangulation, on welfare reform. Clinton explicitly campaigned with a position--"end welfare as we know it"--that drew a line against those in his own party. Yes, he fudged on just how radical a reform he'd accept (mainly because Republicans initially wanted to pass a bill he'd be certain to veto). But he didn't stop publicly pushing for some dramatic reform, and he got it.

2) Triangulation is transparent: After all Obama's feckless lip service to labor's goal of a "card check" bill, who knows what he really thinks about the proposed legislation? If he came out and told Big Labor, for example, that it just isn't a good idea to impose mandatory federal arbitration on newly organized workplaces--but that maybe he likes the idea of speeding up elections--that would not only look presidential (and be presidential), it would also let the voters know where all the players stand. They could make up their own minds. But that would be triangulating (pushing off against left and right).

Obama prefers to float along passively, somewhere in a gauzy cloud of hope and "transcendence." But where, exactly, is hard to tell. Voters don't have a good handle on what he's up to, which breeds a damaging distrust. Is he bailing out Detroit, for example, in ways that favor his union backers and the Detroit firms his government now owns? Is there a tacit "industrial policy" of extra-vigorously pursuing safety investigations against the bailed-out companies' main competitor, Toyota? Was there a secret deal that required electric car maker Tesla to let itself be organized by the UAW if it was going to keep getting government subsidies? I tend to think the answer is 'no' to many of these questions--that Obama wants to get the government out of the auto business ASAP, for instance. But with Obama's true attitude so transcendently vague, you can't blame voters for being suspicious and thinking otherwise.

Tea Party Paranoia--"Transcendence's" Unwanted Child. ...

**--Jonathan Alter makes a similar point about Obama's failure in the health debate to tell the left, explicitly that the votes weren't there for a "public option."

3:02 P.M.

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From: GeneralMalaise

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From: JorgXMcKie (jorgxmckie@netscape.net)

Subject: re: Why

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From: Mark

Subject: re: Why

Wow. "If the oil goes away." "If unemployment drops." I guess Obama's supporters are into passivity. IF that was Obama's game plan THEN Obama would be doing more to make those condtionals turn into truths. Instead, he's trying to spin, spin, spin without actually getting anything done. Helluva job, Barry.

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From: Eric

Subject: re: Why

The difference is that Obama WANTS progressive legislation to pass and Clinton was fully ready to abandon whatever. If he gets a little winning streak going, the oil goes away, unemployment goes down -- don't you think card check might have more life? Why intentionally irritate people that you want to win?

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